Skip to main content

Screening for Shorting Opportunities 📉

Not every chart needs a trade. Sometimes the job is simply to identify where the risk/reward starts becoming interesting. While screening for potential shorting opportunities, I came across this setup. The idea was to combine market structure + liquidity + imbalance + trend rather than short simply because price was falling. 🔍 What caught my attention? 1️⃣ Bearish structure Price had already experienced a strong decline and was trading below a downward-sloping moving average. That suggested that the broader momentum was still favouring sellers. 2️⃣ Equal High = liquidity above The Equal High marked on the chart is an area I would watch closely. Rather than assuming resistance will hold, I look at clustered highs as a potential area of buy-side liquidity. A move toward or through that area can become important when assessing a potential reversal. 3️⃣ IFVG — potential resistance The purple Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) becomes the key area I'm watching. If price retraces into this z...

Success in trading comes from having an open mind

Open Mindedness is the single most important psychological factor in active trading - 

Pattern recognition is the core cognitive skill involved in active trading.  

One mistake many beginning traders make is that they equate patterns in markets with chart patterns. 

For the rational, evidence-based trader, patterns are only meaningful if they have explanatory value.  

When trading short time frames, the patterns in markets that are meaningful are ones that track actual supply and demand among market participants. 

From the sequencing of trades in a market, we can observe increasing or decreasing volume and whether the volume has a directional bias. 
Across many trades, we can detect trends and cycles.  

When there is relatively stable participation in markets, we can expect the patterns of trending and cycling that we've observed in the recent past to continue in the immediate future. 
That sets up potential opportunity.

One of the challenges of financial markets is their complexity. 

Patterns show up across differing time frames, with trends and cycles nested within one another.  

Thus, at one time frame, we may observe a trend, but at a longer time frame we can see that this trend is simply a directional move within a larger cycle.

A true understanding of market patterns requires the ability to place price behavior in proper context. 

Successful pattern recognition is not merely seeing a trend or cycle on one time frame; it is the understanding of price behavior across multiple time frames.

In practice, that means our tracking of markets needs to be dynamic, not static. 

We need to be tracking what is happening across shorter, medium, and longer time frames in order to detect the opportunity in their alignment.  

Meaningful market patterns do not "set up" at any single period, but rather derive their meaning in how they are nested within one another.

Only if I am dynamically scanning the market across multiple time horizons can I begin to detect how the longer-term and shorter-term movement are meaningfully related.  

During that dynamic scanning, I am not looking for trades and I am not at all focused on what I think the market will do or should do.

Rather, I am watching across the time horizons with a completely open mind.

Eventually, if I observe & pay attention to what the charts are saying, a pattern--something meaningful--will jump out at me.

This is why maintaining an open mind is the key to a successful trading.

Great trade ideas can't come to us if we are not open to them. 

Pattern recognition, in trading, means that we see relationships unfold.  

This is why intuition is central to successful active trading.  

The goal is not to have an optimistic mindset or a mindset filled with "conviction". 
 The goal is to be have a quiet and open mind, dynamically observing the interplay of markets and time frames.

The truly great trades are the ones that come to us. 







Popular posts from this blog

The Role of Valuations in Trading: Intrinsic Valuation vs. Relative Valuation

Valuation is a crucial asp ect of trading that helps investors assess the worth of a financial instrument, such as stocks, bonds, or commodities.  By determining the fair value of an asset, traders can make informed decisions regarding buying, selling, or holding positions.  There are two primary approaches to valuation: intrinsic valuation and relative valuation.  In this blog post, we will delve into these two methods and explore their roles in the trading world. I. Intrinsic Valuation : Intrinsic valuation involves assessing the inherent value of an asset based on its fundamental characteristics, including its cash flows, growth prospects, risk factors, and other qualitative and quantitative factors. The goal of intrinsic valuation is to determine what the asset is truly worth, regardless of external market conditions or the pricing of similar assets. Key methods of intrinsic valuation include: Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This approach estimates t...

Screening for Shorting Opportunities 📉

Not every chart needs a trade. Sometimes the job is simply to identify where the risk/reward starts becoming interesting. While screening for potential shorting opportunities, I came across this setup. The idea was to combine market structure + liquidity + imbalance + trend rather than short simply because price was falling. 🔍 What caught my attention? 1️⃣ Bearish structure Price had already experienced a strong decline and was trading below a downward-sloping moving average. That suggested that the broader momentum was still favouring sellers. 2️⃣ Equal High = liquidity above The Equal High marked on the chart is an area I would watch closely. Rather than assuming resistance will hold, I look at clustered highs as a potential area of buy-side liquidity. A move toward or through that area can become important when assessing a potential reversal. 3️⃣ IFVG — potential resistance The purple Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) becomes the key area I'm watching. If price retraces into this z...

🛑Stop Loss - How Swing Traders Should Place Their Stop Loss.

Ideal Stop Loss for Swing Traders - Factors to Consider ⚖️ 1️⃣ When determining the ideal stop loss for a swing trade, it's important to consider several factors. One key factor is the price point on the chart that, if broken, could indicate a possible trend reversal. However, this alone is not sufficient. Let's dive into the other factors to consider.  2️⃣ Long-Term Trend: Analyze the stock's long-term trend. Is it in an uptrend, downtrend, or moving sideways? Understanding the overall direction of the stock can help you determine an appropriate stop loss level. 3️⃣ Phase of the Stock: Evaluate the phase of the stock. Is it in a contraction, expansion, or sideways phase? Different phases have different levels of volatility and risk. Adjust your stop loss accordingly to account for the stock's current phase. 4️⃣ Stock Average Daily Range: Consider the stock's average daily range. This metric indicates how much the stock typically moves within a day. Set your stop lo...
KopyTrade
Learn. Analyse. Understand the Market.
CHARTS & SETUPS

Charts, Setups & More

Follow @sunilic83 on X for charts, technical setups, market observations and more.

𝕏 Follow on X →
For informational and educational purposes only. Not investment advice, recommendations, or trading signals.